Hurricane Season officially begins every year on June 1 and ends on November 30. September is typically the busiest month in the Atlantic basin for hurricanes. But that doesn’t mean the other months are devoid of strong storms.
The 2020 season has been predicted to be an above-normal hurricane season by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. There are a combination of several climate factors that are contributing to this outlook, which you can read more about in the above-mentioned link.
And what’s worse is that Saint Martin historically gets effected by a hurricane about once every three years. Hurricanes Irma and Maria — that last two storms to have a major impact on the island — both happened in 2017 and, if you do the math, adding three years gets us right to 2020.
If anyone tells you 2020 is a great year, run far and fast away from that person.
At this moment there is robust tropical wave currently named Invest 92L that is developing in the central Atlantic Ocean. Its current path has it tracking directly toward Saint Martin. The system is expected to become better organized as it continues moving westward towards the Leeward Islands.
If the storm continues to develop there are indications that the environment ahead of this storm would support strengthening it into a named storm, which would be ‘Isaias.’
In addition, there is another system that recently pushed off the African coast that may organize into a stronger storm in the coming days.
Stay tuned. We will attempt to provide relevant updates as we get them. If a storm does develop into a hurricane that hits the island we have access to information and resources on the ground to be able to get updates to you in a reasonably efficient and effective manner.